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“There’s a lot of distrust of these home-run giga-packages. And since President Donald Trump is as hostile to climate action as he is friendly to fossil fuels, the debate over the Green New Deal is likely to be an exercise in messaging rather than policymaking until 2021 at the earliest. U.S. wind capacity has more than tripled since 2008, while solar capacity is up more than sixfold.
“Now we’re saying: ‘How about a second stimulus that’s more directly green?’” This political, economic and environmental moment has little in common with the one in which the stimulus debate played out after Obama’s election. Obama grafted his green agenda onto a response to an economic emergency, while Ocasio-Cortez and other left-of-Obama activists are arguably trying to graft their economic agenda, including a government job guarantee and even universal health care, onto a response to a climate emergency. But here, too, the stimulus offers a dose of cold water. Castor said her committee also intends to hold hearings around the country, to emphasize how climate change is creating wildfires in California as well as floods in Miami. Of the requirement for electric-only vehicles, and the removal of every single dirty internal combustion engine? Obama had only a month to sell the stimulus, and O’Hanlon says Green New Deal backers are already preparing to pre-empt the coming backlash by holding rallies around the country highlighting rising seas, intensifying storms and other byproducts of the climate crisis. She and fellow progressives could make their enthusiastic pitches for universal health care, affordable housing, and boosting unions separately. Or of the mandated retrofitting of every single building in the country? The authors support “low-tech” carbon capture and storage for example—ie, planting trees—rather than developing more efficient technology.

You can unsubscribe at any time. There are sensible policies that America has not yet enacted that would bend its current trajectory on carbon emissions: a carbon tax, subsidies for nuclear-power generation, an increase in research funding for carbon-capture and carbon-storage, to name a few.Yet the Green New Deal leapfrogs these ideas, which its creators deem too piddling and also too market-based to meet the proposal’s second objective: eliminating the excesses of late capitalism. But the stimulus was an unprecedented exercise in deficit spending, as big in inflation-adjusted dollars as Franklin D. Roosevelt’s entire New Deal, and from the start it had two related political problems. Voters deserve a bit more explanation on how to get from here to there.Such objections are thought unsportsmanlike by the proposal’s backers. Pollution from agriculture would be eliminated by supporting family farming. On February 6th those details arrived in blueprint form, as a House resolution. The details are still up in the air, but a massive climate investment is suddenly emerging as a tentpole of Democratic politics. The way to win, O’Hanlon said, will be to draw another lesson from the stimulus: Legislation won’t make the case for itself. What should be the top priority, and how far should it go to wrap in other priorities? The Green New Deal has people excited in ways think-tank white papers on cap-and-trade schemes never did. That debate produced a bill that was substantively groundbreaking for clean energy but politically debilitating for Democrats.Obama’s top priority when he took office after the 2008 financial crisis was to resuscitate an economy that was losing nearly 800,000 jobs per month. “This time, we’re trying to get ahead of that.” The Green New Deal’s popularity will depend at least in part on its content. Establishment Democrats emphasize that unemployment fell from a high of 10 percent to less than 5 percent on Obama’s watch, while the cost of solar power, wind power and battery storage have all plunged more than 70 percent since 2009. You can ’ t commandeer half of the GDP without disrupting or even destroying people ’ s lives.

A recent Yale University poll found that 81 percent of Americans support the idea of a Green New Deal, including 64 percent of Republicans—but then again, the idea of an economic recovery bill was also popular before Fox News and GOP leaders began trashing it.

Although the idea sounds as radical and new as Ocasio-Cortez herself, it’s been done once before, and just a decade ago: President Barack Obama signed a prototype Green New Deal into law in February 2009, pouring an unprecedented $90 billion into clean electricity, renewable fuels, advanced batteries, energy efficiency, a smarter grid and a slew of other green initiatives. The result was a cacophony of he-said-she-said coverage in which both sides sounded negative. But she’s confident that Democrats will come together to support action, even if they squabble over the details. House Democratic leaders have created a new select committee on climate change to pursue a Green New Deal. “We saw how the conservative media and the Republican Party painted a strong economic recovery plan as something that was just about wasting tons of money,” O’Hanlon says. I’d be cautious about attaching free college to it, because that’s going to make it harder.” But on the left, reducing emissions is seen as just one plank in a much broader progressive agenda. And just as Obama often talked about “green jobs” during the stimulus debate, McElwee envisions Democratic politicians using a Green New Deal as a politically attractive source of jobs they can steer to their states, bringing home solar projects and weatherization programs the way they currently boast about military contracts and farm subsidies.But Stephen O’Hanlon, spokesman for the youth-oriented Sunrise Movement that has pressured Democratic leaders to make climate action a top priority, says the experience of the stimulus offers some bracing political lessons to Green New Deal supporters: that they won’t be able to take Democrats for granted no matter how many jobs the policy produces, and that Republicans might be a lost cause entirely.Rifts are already emerging within the Democratic coalition.

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